Patches vs Data

Patches are often introduced specifically to shake things up. A single patch can eliminate a building type, introduce new heroes or change the old heroes so much that they are barely recognisable. There are also subtle, but important changes going on: A cooldown on an ability might drop by 5% or an item’s price might be tweaked.

How do these patches affect the gameplay? It’s hard to nigh impossible to say right away. Usually companies like Bayes Esports need to wait and see how professional teams adjust to the changing game rules and then follow their lead. A new “meta” game eventually develops – until the next patch goes live.

While this is what keeps the game interesting and fresh for spectators and players, it presents a significant challenge to anyone who wants to create betting odds. Side markets for MOBAs focus on objectives like killing certain monsters, and these monsters’ properties and priority changes quite often with patches. If you just let your models run untouched, you’re exposing yourself to any number of clever punters.

The problem with fixing models, however, is that it takes time to generate new data. We cannot adjust to what we do not know – and we do not know how a patch will affect the meta. Sure, there are expert analysts dissecting every patch and offering their predictions, and human traders can often take over for a time, but human experts err often. Depending on how busy the season is, it can take up to several weeks to gather enough data to assert model quality for side markets. This is valuable time during which side markets cannot be offered or can only be offered at a higher risk.

Now imagine a piece of software that is fed patch notes and is able to predict meta game changes. This would be a game changer in the industry! There are several ways that this could be made possible, with self-play being at the top of my list. What if a computer steered two League of Legends or DotA2 teams who played against each other until they developed a new meta? Then we could compare the shifts in strategies and collect statistics from the games just like we would from real matches and use these to make new prediction models. Except that where we currently need to wait a week or two to collect enough relevant matches from top teams, we would now need mere hours.

This is not as futuristic as it sounds. OpenAI has already succeeded at teaching a machine to play Dota2 on a professional level. Modern AI is able to learn strategies, coordinate a team and optimise for long-term goals. Going from here to exploring patches is still a major step, but it’s a step that, in my opinion is reasonable and can be taken. It just needs a team dedicated to this task who has access to the best quality data like Bayes Esports provides. Who knows, maybe already a year from now we’ll be looking to an AI assessment of patch notes instead of the traditional expert opinion?

As a data scientist with a keen interest in sports and research, Dr. Darina Goldin heads the research team in a company that has a data driven approach to esports (Baynes esports). In her new column, Dr. Goldin will talk about ideas for products she’d like to see in the esports ecosystem. None of them are easy – some have the stuff for several dissertations. But each one would bring tremendous worth to the community if accomplished, and a nice thought exercise for the time being.

FanDuel, DraftKings become official NBA betting partners with expanded partnerships

The multi-year partnership has granted FanDuel and DraftKings further marketing, content, and digital rights to integrate NBA assets within its sports betting, daily fantasy sports, and online casino platforms.

FanDuel also announced a deal with the National Basketball Player’s Association (NBPA), granting it access to player images for use in content and highlights.

DraftKings will become the exclusive presenting sponsor of NBABet Stream, the NBA’s betting-centric telecast which is distributed via NBA League Pass and the NBA TV app.

FanDuel president and CEO Amy Howe said: “FanDuel’s partnership with the NBA has been a cornerstone of our success for many years, and together we have revolutionized what is possible in a partnership between a professional sports league and a sports gaming operator.

Read the full story on iGB North America.

MGM Resorts revenue doubles in Q3 as it announces Mirage sale plans

The company announced during its Q3 earnings call that it is planning to sell the operations of the Mirage Resort. The business had already sold the property itself as part of an asset-light strategy.

CEO Bill Hornbuckle said: “We’re currently in the early stages of a process to sell the operations of the Mirage. Doing so will allow us to maintain our existing Las Vegas exposure while focusing on the complementary in diverse nature of our offerings in our hometown.

“I spent the early part of my career at Mirage, I have been part of that team’s opening at the property in 1989. It’s a historic property with great brand recognition and a strong customer and loyal following.”

MGM Resorts also reached an agreement during the quarter to sell spun-off REIT MGM Growth Properties – in which it holds a controlling stake – to real estate investment trust VICI Properties for $17.2bn. 

Breaking down MGM’s $2.71bn in revenue, casino revenue was the biggest contributor to the total bringing in $1.40bn – up from $690.2m in 2020.

Read the full story on iGB North America.

Penn reports $1.51bn in Q3 revenue as it prepares for theScore integration

This revenue total was up 33.8% compared to the third quarter of 2020.

Most of the revenue came from PNG’s Northeastern properties, which recorded $672.4m this quarter, up 23.3%. Its Southern properties recorded the second highest revenue at $318.2m, which was a rise of 24.4% year-on-year. The Midwestern properties brought in $285.7m, up 25.5%. Properties in the West generated $145.7m. Revenue raised from other segments – including digital – came in at $96.5m.

Read the full story on iGB North America

Richmond voters reject One Casino + Resort project

The city held a referendum, as part of the November 2 election, to approve the building of One Casino + Resort in the south side of the city.

In total, 37,599 people – 48.6% of voters – voted to approve the casino resort.

However, 39,824 voters – 51.4% – voted against, meaning the ballot measure was defeated.

Read the full story on iGB North America

Affiliate marketing in a world without cookies

Cookies, the files created by websites you visit that save your browsing information, are becoming an endangered species. 

Affiliates and their operator partners must now rethink what data they have, what data they actually need, and how to get this data in a “post-cookies” world.

For proactive, forward-thinking companies, all is not lost.

Things to bear in mind about cookies

Cookies don’t just improve advertising targeting – they improve user experience too
If you think a cookie-less world is an advertising problem for advertisers to solve, think again. Cookies are used by sites to keep you signed in, remember passwords and site preferences, and give you locally relevant content. They play a valuable part in your everyday browsing experience.

There’s more than one type of cookie
First-party cookies are created by the sites you visit. This is the data you collect on your audience based on their behaviours directly on your site or app.

Second-party data basically comes from someone else’s first-party data.

Third-party cookies are created by third-party sites – aka advertising and BI platforms you likely have not visited. Third-party data is a collection of multiple first-party data sources aggregated across websites and applications by independent companies. Only this third-party cookie is being phased out.

This is part of a larger, longer-term trend
The “death of the third-party cookie” has been playing out for years.

In 2019, EU courts ruled that users must actively consent to all analytics cookies when they log on to a website. If not, the website can’t drop analytics or web tracking cookies on the user’s browser. This was the infamous “GDPR ruling” that requires explicit (rather than implicit) opt-in before any analytics or web tracking cookies can be placed on a browser.

Apple has been rolling out plans to make certain mobile cookies opt-in only, which will prevent cross-device tracking of visitors.

Google announced its plans to phase out cookies in early 2020. The tech giant explained that this move was being done in response to online consumers demanding greater privacy, transparency and control over how their data is used.

Google again is making headlines after recently announcing that it will NOT be developing any alternative solutions that track users across different sites.

So now what?
While things look grim for third-party cookies, savvy affiliates and operators must now shift focus to first-party data strategies, meaning you’ll need to create, manage and update your own customer profiles directly using your own data. 

While you’ll soon lose the ability to see data related to your visitor’s behaviours on other websites, with a first-party cookie, you’ll still be able to learn about what a user did while visiting your website, see how often they visit it, and gain other basic analytics that can help you develop or automate an effective marketing strategy around them.

Strategies for shifting to a first-party-data-first approach

Build relationships
Developing strong relationships with customers has always been important for brands, and this relationship-building becomes even more critical in a cookie-less world. 

Be transparent about how customer data is being used. Give your customers more control over what data is collected. Show you responsibly (and securely) collect, store and use this data.

Offer value in exchange for data
When data is used to deliver value through customised offers and loyalty programs, then customers will be more willing to share their information. This is where personalisation and localisation become all the more important.For example, customers will be more likely to share their location with you if it unlocks geo-specific games, rather than simply opening them up to more ads.

Continue to think holistically across channels
First-party data is collected directly from your audience. It’s collected first-hand. This means first-party data doesn’t need to be collected on your site exclusively.

Even after the cookie-pocalypse, you can use data from any of the following sources to continue predicting user behaviour patterns in a similar manner: site and app data; CRM data; data from the social media profiles and activities of your followers; data from subscription-based emails; and good old-fashioned surveys and customer feedback. 

Speed will be even more important
Personalisation needs to happen instantly to truly deliver the best possible experience and delight your customers. As actions are taken across channels, you need to be able to update a customer’s profile in near-real-time. Whether a customer has opted in or out of a program, you need to deliver personalised experiences in seconds, not days.

Proven strategies to both acquire and leverage first-party data

Loyalty programs
In this industry, loyalty programs should be one of your primary first-party data sources. You can create custom offers, discounts, redeemable points, and personalised promotions for loyalty members to increase engagement with your brand.

Someone would be more likely to tell you who their favourite team is if they know you’ll use that information to make their experience better, rather than simply advertise “at” them.

New channels

Advertising targeting options are going to be impacted when third-party cookies go away. If your goal is to have more ways to reach users, consider exploring new channels and offerings that might be a fit. For example, you might create a TikTok account if research suggests your audience is active there. Another example would be offering freeplay games in a state that doesn’t yet offer regulated sports betting.

Build your brand
The “b word” can make many decision-makers cringe, but that’s largely a result of all of the direct-response, bottom-of-funnel targeting options we’ve had access to over the years. These targeting options are the exact ones that are going away!

If you need to start collecting more first-party data,you need to do a better job of making users want to give you their info in the first place.

Start by giving your customers content they actually want.You may have to spend some time building your brand into a trusted name people believe in, can relate with, and frequently interact with. 

Partnerships
Leverage second-party data – assuming it’s still trusted, compliant and accurate.

Freeplay games
Freeplay games are a powerful acquisition and retention tool for affiliates, media companies and operators. They give players a reason to engage with your brand, provide content that adds huge value and rewards them for sharing their information with you. 

The bottom line 
If you’re relying on online advertising, popup ads, and high-tech audience-targeting tools, you need to consider alternative, first-party data strategies ASAP. 

Use this as an opportunity to make your brand even safer from similar changes in the future. Ask yourself “How can I reach my audiences without cookies, hyper-targeted ads, and massive amounts of third-party data” and you’ll be presented with numerous opportunities for loyalty-, community-, and brand-building.

The death of third-party cookies is inevitable. The death of effective customer acquisition and retention is not. Personalisation, localization and transparency will see you through.

Playmaker grows Brazil presence with SuperPoker acquisition

The deal is worth $4.3m (£3.2m/€3.7m) and comprises $1.8m in cash, the issuance of $1.5m of Playmaker common shares and up to $1.0m in the form of an earn-out, payable upon SuperPoker achieving certain revenue targets over the two-year period following the acquisition. 

In addition, the sellers will be eligible to receive a commission bonus based on sales that exceed $800,000.

The deal will see Playmaker’s Futbol Sites subsidiary manage the day-to-day operations of SuperPoker and its suite of products. More than 15 experienced sales and gaming-related content experts will join the Playmaker team as a result of the acquisition.

SuperPoker generates 15 million annual visits and 1.25 million unique annual users across its properties, and is also the official Portuguese language streaming platform for the Brazilian Series of Poker, European Poker Tour, Pokerstars Players Championship, World Series of Poker – Brazil Circuit, and the Pan-American Poker Tour.

Monetisation efforts of SuperPoker assets will be transitioned to the Playmaker Bench, Playmaker’s proprietary monetisation technology stack.

“Playmaker is building an ecosystem of engaged fans and this overlap provides our fans with additional content to enjoy and provides our betting and advertising clients with another avenue to reach their target audiences. Brazil is a key market for us and we will continue to focus on it,” Playmaker chief executive Jordan Gnat said.

Igor Trafane, founder of SuperPoker and owner of several poker and gambling related assets in Brazil including H2 Club, the BSOP, PAPT and Flush Tour, will continue to work with the Futbol Sites team to support and grow its presence in Brazil.

“I am passionate about poker and I am passionate about soccer; this partnership brings these passions together,” Trafane said. “I have known Jordan for many years from his days at Stars Group and we have strong mutual respect and admiration for each other, and now this opportunity allows us to work together again as partners. 

“My business group has more than ten companies, from poker tournaments to live poker clubs, poker supplies and more. Our media business needed a strategic relationship for the future. Playmaker is that partner and I am in for the long run to help grow this business as a shareholder.”

The deal comes after Playmaker in June also finalised the acquisition of Brazil-facing online football community Fanáticos Por Futebol and completed the launch of its second major brand in the country, with Somos Fanáticos (We Are Fans) going live via Futbol Sites.

Playmaker in July also acquired Yardbarker, a digital media property focused on publishing sports and entertainment news and information.

Bally’s Q3 revenue up 170% in final quarter before Gamesys acquisition

Gaming made up the vast majority of Bally’s revenue, at $227.6m, a 135.6% year-on-year increase. Hotel revenue was up 383.35 to $32.9m, while food and beverage revenue grew 327.5% to $29.5m. Racing, meanwhile, brought in 42.0m, up 20.0%.

Other revenue grew almost five-fold to $22.8m.

However, Bally’s expenses tripled to $287.0m. Costs of sales related to gaming made up $75.2m and food and beverage costs of sales were $21.4m, while costs of sales from hotels were $9.4m and those from racing were $2.0m. All of these costs grew roughly in line with revenue in the given areas.

Read the full story on iGB North America

Soft2Bet names Nestorovski as new B2B lead

In his new role, Nestorovski will be responsible for leading and executing expansion strategies for Soft2Bet’s B2B products and services in new, emerging and diverse markets.

Nestorovski joins Soft2Bet after almost four years with EveryMatrix, where he served as both head of sales and commercial director for PartnerMatrix.

Prior to this, he spent 18 months with Extreme Live Gaming, first as senior account manager and then head of account management.

Nestorovski also served as business development executive and business development manager at NetRefer during a 14-month spell with the business.

Earlier in his career, Nestorovski spent time with HSBC, Habitat for Humanity Macedonia, Synergie Effekte, Seavus Group and Stopanska Banka. 

“I am happy to be given the opportunity to contribute to the continued success of Soft2Bet and leverage my experience and expertise in this challenging industry to help accelerate the Soft2Bet Rocketship to new heights,” Nestorovski said.

Soft2Bet chief executive Boris Chaikin added: “We’re delighted to have Kiril on board in this vital position. His insight and experience are a great fit for Soft2Bet, and with his appointment, we are emphasising our commitment to ensuring Soft2Bet recruits top talent and gets closer to the realisation of our ambitions to successfully grow our company and enter new regulated markets.”

The appointment marks the latest senior hire at Soft2Bet, which earlier this year also named Peter Christian Noer as its regional manager for Nordic markets and Pablo Ferreira as chief marketing officer.

SuperBook Sports partners with UFC star Chandler

Under the deal, Chandler will mention SuperBook Sports in social media posts on Twitter and Instagram this week during the build-up to his fight with Justin Gaethje at UFC 268 on November 6.

Chandler has also taken part in a feature-length interview with Ron Kruck of SuperBook Sports.

“SuperBook Sports is a great partner and they’re authentic like me; I want my fans and followers to be SuperBook customers,” Chandler said. “In the crowded world of sports gambling they’re the most proven and trusted brand in the industry.”

Read the full story on iGB North America.